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Polymarket wallet 0x78b3ae0dc14ac069c7212d02cfe969d43465a139 · on Polymarket since Jul 9, 2026 · also shown as Talkative-Tailspin
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 562 | 26¢ → 26¢ | $143 | −$1 −0.4% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 5d | Yes | 142 | 33¢ → 66¢ | $93 | +$46 +99% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 68d | Yes | 431 | 21¢ → 7¢ | $28 | −$64 −69% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?Ends in 98d | Yes | 1,541 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$3 −49% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 24?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 18¢ → 28¢ | $3 | +$1 +58% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?Ends in 98d | Yes | 2,515 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$4 −75% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$0 −25% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Ends in 98d | Yes | 1,132 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$9 −94% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?Ends ended | Yes | 41 | 23¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.