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Polymarket wallet 0x821f62b1b32e85ff35c8513ec0bfb6d30526ba43 · on Polymarket since Sep 15, 2024 · also shown as Gifted-Chairperson
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate control after 2024 election?Settled - ready to redeem | Democrats | 40 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 104 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Mitt Romney endorse Kamala?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 74 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 66 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Joe Manchin endorse Kamala?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 765d | Will Joe Manchin endorse Kamala? | BuyYes79¢ | $10 |
| 765d | Will Mitt Romney endorse Kamala? | BuyYes34¢ | $25 |
| 765d | Will Kamala lead by 2.1-2.5 or more points on September 20? | BuyYes55¢ | $10 |
| 765d | Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election? | BuyYes53¢ | $25 |
| 765d | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BuyYes77¢ | $20 |
| 768d | Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election? | BuyYes24¢ | $25 |
| 768d | Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election? | BuyYes53¢ | $10 |
| 768d | Senate control after 2024 election? | BuyDemocrats25¢ | $10 |
| 768d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes65¢ | $20 |
| 768d | Cowboys vs. Saints | BuyCowboys72¢ | $25 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.