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Polymarket wallet 0x827feb17c58f0221225e8477aac1d54c7b49fd08 · on Polymarket since Oct 31, 2025 · also shown as Trained-Thumb
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 33 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $32 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 11 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$1 +67% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bulls vs. KingsSettled - ready to redeem | Bulls | 5 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Blues vs. DucksSettled - ready to redeem | Ducks | 5 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| 76ers vs. KnicksSettled - ready to redeem | Knicks | 4 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 22 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.