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Polymarket wallet 0x850bb4176be2261c0e4dc5ae6385b0c399aae698 · on Polymarket since Dec 31, 2024 · also shown as Obvious-Thermometer
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz vs. HeatSettled - ready to redeem | Jazz | 20 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Grizzlies vs. WarriorsSettled - ready to redeem | Warriors | 6 | 67¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$2 +50% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +8.7% |
| Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 64¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +56% |
| Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 657d | Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | BuyYes92¢ | $3 |
| 657d | Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? | BuyYes64¢ | $2 |
| 657d | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | BuyYes73¢ | $3 |
| 657d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyYes90¢ | $3 |
| 657d | Grizzlies vs. Warriors | BuyWarriors67¢ | $2 |
| 657d | Jazz vs. Heat | BuyJazz>99¢ | $20 |
| 657d | Grizzlies vs. Warriors | BuyWarriors66¢ | $2 |
| 662d | Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | BuyYes88¢ | $5 |
| 662d | Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia? | BuyYes98¢ | $3 |
| 662d | Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.