MerlinWagner

Polymarket wallet 0x860004fa099951e9713606f78e708099b1f8fb04 · on Polymarket since Nov 12, 2025 · also shown as Blushing-Mousse

Open on Polymarket ↗@lisa_graha27512 ↗

Positions now worth: $7.29
All-time profit: −$8.01K
Volume traded: $69K
All-time rank: #3,193,179
Markets traded: 133
Recent hit rate: 100%50 of last 50 closed

Open positions

70 markets · $7.29

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1	93¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +7.8%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1	93¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +7.5%
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1	96¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +4.2%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1	96¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +4.1%
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1	96¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +4.0%
Will annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +0.6%
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +0.6%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,000 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
316d	Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	BuyYes96¢	$1
324d	Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?	BuyYes98¢	$1
324d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$8
324d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$993
324d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$500
324d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$63
324d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$437
324d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
324d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
324d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$75
324d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$175
324d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$75
324d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$175
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$500
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$18
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$232
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$72
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$179
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$3
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$247
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
325d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$500
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$500
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$150
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$100
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$110
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$140
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$71
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$75
326d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$105
327d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
327d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$54
327d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$166

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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