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Polymarket wallet 0x86043ba0b5d4cd3e11289e4a40bb403ab16dcb8f · on Polymarket since Jan 27, 2026 · also shown as Rough-Bait
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | SellNo79¢ | $20 |
| 7d | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $13 |
| 10d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-10? AND Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? | Buy48¢ | $4 |
| 10d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? AND Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-10-10? | Buy52¢ | $5 |
| 10d | Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-10-10? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | Buy49¢ | $5 |
| 10d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | Buy52¢ | $5 |
| 10d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? AND Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? | Buy54¢ | $5 |
| 10d | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? AND Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-11? | Buy60¢ | $5 |
| 10d | Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? AND Will PSV win on 2026-10-09? | Buy60¢ | $5 |
| 10d | Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? AND Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-11? | Buy61¢ | $5 |
| 10d | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? AND Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-10? | Buy63¢ | $5 |
| 10d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? AND Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-10? | Buy61¢ | $5 |
| 10d | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-10? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | Buy62¢ | $5 |
| 24d | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BuyNo75¢ | $10 |
| 24d | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo59¢ | $15 |
| 24d | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SellNo96¢ | $101 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10AM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $5 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10AM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $5 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10AM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $5 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10AM ET | SellDown42¢ | $15 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10AM ET | BuyDown47¢ | $3 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10AM ET | BuyDown43¢ | $2 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10AM ET | BuyDown44¢ | $2 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10AM ET | BuyDown45¢ | $2 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10AM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $3 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10AM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $3 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BuyDown20¢ | $1 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BuyDown42¢ | $1 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BuyDown42¢ | $1 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BuyDown45¢ | $2 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown85¢ | $4 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown86¢ | $4 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown88¢ | $1 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown87¢ | $4 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown89¢ | $4 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BuyUp95¢ | $10 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BuyUp90¢ | $10 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BuyDown73¢ | $4 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BuyDown75¢ | $4 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BuyDown80¢ | $4 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BuyDown80¢ | $0 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BuyDown75¢ | $4 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BuyUp99¢ | $10 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BuyDown67¢ | $3 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BuyDown70¢ | $4 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BuyDown74¢ | $4 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown88¢ | $4 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BuyDown63¢ | $3 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BuyDown64¢ | $3 |
| 45d | Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Color vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | Buy62¢ | $5 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BuyUp75¢ | $2 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BuyUp75¢ | $2 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BuyUp80¢ | $2 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BuyUp80¢ | $2 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BuyUp55¢ | $3 |
| 45d | Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Color vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | Buy20¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.