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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | 69% | 0 pts | −11 pts | 68¢ · 71¢ (3¢) | — | — |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 3% | — | +2 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | — |
| Taylor Fritz | 6% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 6¢ · 6¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Flavio Cobolli | 96% | +1 pts | +6 pts | 94¢ · 97¢ (4¢) | — | — |
| Jiri Lehecka | 3% | — | +1 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | — |
| Frances Tiafoe | 87% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 85¢ · 88¢ (3¢) | — | — |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 2% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | — |
| Brandon Nakashima | 1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Tommy Paul | 3% | — | +2 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | — |
| Zizou Bergs | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Casper Ruud | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | — |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 43d |
| Ugo Humbert | 2% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | — |
| Mariano Navone | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Alexander Bublik | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Joao Fonseca | 1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | — |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Novak Djokovic | 15% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 11¢ · 19¢ (8¢) | $186 | in 43d |
| Luciano Darderi | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 43d |
| Jakub Mensik | 4% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | — |
| Learner Tien | 3% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | — |
| Andrey Rublev | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | — |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Ignacio Buse | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | — |
| Arthur Fils | 93% | +1 pts | +36 pts | 92¢ · 94¢ (2¢) | $84.9 | — |
| Daniil Medvedev | 95% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 93¢ · 97¢ (4¢) | $81.6 | — |
| Alex de Minaur | 13% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 10¢ · 15¢ (5¢) | $20 | — |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 3% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | — |
| Quentin Halys | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | — |
| Arthur Fery | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | — |
| Valentin Vacherot | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | — |
| Raphael Collignon | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | — |
| Alexander Blockx | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d |  CosmicCedar | Will Ben Shelton Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,548 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
LornaPredicts48 shares
Haradwaith212 shares
WikLipinG100 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 69¢ for Rafael Jodar means the market gives it about 69%.