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Polymarket wallet 0x8690a35231d8d60f6a6e0fbd81c5f15f37f75383 · on Polymarket since Jul 1, 2024 · also shown as Warm-Amber
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 73¢ → 100¢ | $69 | +$18 +37% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $55 | +$5 +9.9% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 663d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyYes91¢ | $50 |
| 664d | Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-29? | BuyYes73¢ | $50 |
| 688d | Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6? | BuyYes92¢ | $120 |
| 746d | Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi? | BuyYes25¢ | $20 |
| 766d | Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Michigan town hall? | BuyNo60¢ | $21 |
| 785d | Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during Michigan town hall? | BuyYes39¢ | $19 |
| 802d | Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview? | BuyYes62¢ | $34 |
| 815d | Will Ariarne Titmus (AUS) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle? | BuyNo75¢ | $21 |
| 815d | Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve? | SellYes99¢ | $42 |
| 826d | Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve? | BuyYes18¢ | $8 |
| 844d | Will France win? | BuyNo50¢ | $26 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.