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Polymarket wallet 0x8699a08ae2dee8eb51f7c62a34e319f4c750c6c4 · on Polymarket since May 7, 2026 · also shown as Unknown-Kangaroo
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 37 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 128 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BuyUp19¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BuyUp16¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BuyUp32¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BuyUp45¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BuyDown64¢ | $2 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BuyDown65¢ | $2 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BuyDown80¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BuyDown89¢ | $2 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BuyDown39¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BuyDown6¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BuyDown6¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BuyUp63¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | SellUp99¢ | $2 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BuyUp41¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BuyUp14¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BuyDown80¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BuyUp62¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? | Sell90k44¢ | $2 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BuyUp48¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BuyDown37¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? | Buy90k45¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? | Sell70k55¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? | Buy70k56¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BuyDown54¢ | $1 |
| 162d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BuyDown57¢ | $1 |
| 162d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SellNo86¢ | $1 |
| 163d | Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? | Buy90k52¢ | $2 |
| 163d | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | SellYes17¢ | $1 |
| 164d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BuyNo84¢ | $1 |
| 164d | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BuyYes18¢ | $1 |
| 165d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $2 |
| 165d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1 |
| 165d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BuyUp76¢ | $1 |
| 165d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BuyDown78¢ | $1 |
| 165d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BuyUp93¢ | $2 |
| 165d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11? | SellYes99¢ | $3 |
| 165d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11? | BuyYes83¢ | $2 |
| 165d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11? | BuyYes84¢ | $1 |
| 167d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BuyUp73¢ | $1 |
| 167d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $1 |
| 167d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BuyUp12¢ | $1 |
| 167d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | SellDown21¢ | $2 |
| 167d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BuyDown13¢ | $1 |
| 167d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SellNo25¢ | $1 |
| 167d | Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BuyPhiladelphia Phillies20¢ | $1 |
| 167d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 167d | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SellNo94¢ | $1 |
| 168d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BuyDown53¢ | $1 |
| 168d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 168d | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 8? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1 |
| 168d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo28¢ | $1 |
| 168d | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 28 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.