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Polymarket wallet 0x8a346b73716505af062872a5786d16323a1e0a4d · on Polymarket since Mar 24, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,000 | 16¢ → 18¢ | $525 | +$35 +7.1% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,474 | 50¢ → 9¢ | $133 | −$611 −82% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2,123 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$94 −93% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −50% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 80 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −68% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,667 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | SellYes57¢ | $195 |
| 52d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | SellYes64¢ | $20 |
| 52d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | SellYes64¢ | $11 |
| 65d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BuyYes25¢ | $50 |
| 65d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BuyYes41¢ | $45 |
| 65d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BuyYes41¢ | $1 |
| 65d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BuyYes41¢ | $7 |
| 65d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BuyYes41¢ | $7 |
| 65d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BuyYes41¢ | $1 |
| 65d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BuyYes41¢ | $82 |
| 65d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BuyYes41¢ | $5 |
| 65d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BuyYes41¢ | $4 |
| 65d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BuyYes41¢ | $13 |
| 66d | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SellYes1¢ | $3 |
| 66d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BuyYes26¢ | $35 |
| 66d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BuyYes26¢ | $17 |
| 75d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BuyYes39¢ | $23 |
| 79d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyYes15¢ | $150 |
| 79d | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 81d | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $104 |
| 82d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $2 |
| 82d | Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-01? AND Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-02? AND Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-02? AND Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-08-02? | Buy22¢ | $5 |
| 82d | LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage AND LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group AND Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs AND Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega AND LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | Buy20¢ | $5 |
| 82d | LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group AND Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs AND LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Buy17¢ | $10 |
| 82d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyYes17¢ | $340 |
| 82d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 82d | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels AND Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics AND San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | Buy3¢ | $1 |
| 82d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 82d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $3 |
| 82d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 83d | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 83d | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 83d | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 83d | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 83d | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 83d | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $0 |
| 83d | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 83d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | SellYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 83d | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | SellYes11¢ | $6 |
| 83d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SellNo20¢ | $29 |
| 83d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BuyYes61¢ | $610 |
| 83d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BuyYes60¢ | $0 |
| 83d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SellNo39¢ | $16 |
| 83d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BuyYes60¢ | $8 |
| 84d | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 84d | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 84d | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 84d | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 84d | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SellYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 84d | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 84d | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 84d | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 84d | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SellNo5¢ | $3 |
| 84d | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 84d | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 84d | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 84d | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $0 |
| 84d | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group AND LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage AND LoL: EKO Esports vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO1) - LIT Regular Season AND LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Buy1¢ | $1 |
| 84d | Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs G2 Ares (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group A AND LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group AND LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage AND Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Group B AND Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Alice Rame AND Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffs | Buy1¢ | $1 |
| 84d | Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs G2 Ares (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group A AND LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group AND Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Falcons PH vs Yangon Galacticos (BO5) - Mid Season Cup Playoffs AND Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Sumit Nagal AND Overwatch: ZETA DIVISION vs Geekay Esports (BO3) - OCS Midseason Championship Group B AND Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha AND Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs AND Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez AND Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Group B AND Games Total: O/U 2.5 AND Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Manoj Dhamne Manas AND ECS England: Rainham vs Sharks Cricket Academy AND Bonn (Doubles): Dullinger/Kudernatsch vs Duncan/Heinonen AND Spread: Henan FC (-1.5) AND T20 Series Kenya vs Bahrain: Kenya vs Bahrain AND BetBoom Team vs MOUZ: Draw (1-1)? | Buy3¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.