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Polymarket wallet 0x8bf6746720f9390ee4432c2f0e83378a04bfe3cb · on Polymarket since May 21, 2024 · also shown as Pessimistic-Fallacy
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 41¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$7 +144% |
| Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.3% |
| Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 759d | Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies? | BuyNo91¢ | $5 |
| 759d | Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024? | BuyNo41¢ | $5 |
| 759d | Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024? | BuyYes53¢ | $5 |
| 759d | Will US sell Silk Road BTC before election? | BuyNo86¢ | $5 |
| 759d | Will Trump launch a coin before the election? | BuyNo66¢ | $5 |
| 759d | Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1? | BuyYes86¢ | $5 |
| 759d | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyNo66¢ | $5 |
| 886d | Will ETH hit $4k by Friday? | BuyNo68¢ | $10 |
| 886d | Will Iran blame Israel for helicopter crash? | BuyYes9¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.