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Polymarket wallet 0x8c8abe4b2a74a8b8c894b9acc88df3309c01e62a · on Polymarket since Oct 11, 2024 · also shown as Embarrassed-Pancake
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10,372 | 15¢ → 12¢ | $1,250 | −$283 −18% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,147 | 65¢ → 95¢ | $1,084 | +$334 +45% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4,105 | 24¢ → 22¢ | $903 | −$77 −7.9% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 8,000 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $320 | $0 0.0% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,789 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$144 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,035 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.