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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 12¢ · 12¢ (<1¢) | $181 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | delphy | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo89¢ → 88¢ | $1,494 | −$17 −1.1% | 11 |
| 28d |  MEPP | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SellNo90¢ → 88¢ | $4,182 | +$68 +1.6% | — |
| 42d | zbajie2 fills | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SellNo85¢ → 88¢ | $3,638 | −$148 −4.1% | — |
| 42d | pepei | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $2,150 | +$51 +2.4% | 13 |
| 43d | rocket12 fills | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ → 88¢ | $3,753 | +$121 +3.2% | 14 |
| 44d | monn | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SellNo86¢ → 88¢ | $7,387 | −$194 −2.6% | — |
| 44d | teacheer | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SellNo86¢ → 88¢ | $6,976 | −$183 −2.6% | — |
| 44d | gym-402 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SellNo86¢ → 88¢ | $6,636 | −$182 −2.7% | — |
| 44d | sunnyg2 fills | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SellYes14¢ → 12¢ | $2,370 | +$376 +16% | — |
| 44d | teacheer | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $6,968 | +$191 +2.7% | 14 |
| 44d | flowert | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $7,070 | +$194 +2.7% | 14 |
| 44d | monn | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $7,379 | +$202 +2.7% | 14 |
| 44d | gym-402 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $6,636 | +$182 +2.7% | 14 |
| 44d | fivexi | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $7,236 | +$198 +2.7% | 14 |
| 58d | agagyu2 fills | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo90¢ → 88¢ | $3,533 | −$62 −1.8% | 11 |
| 63d | MEPP4 fills | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo87¢ → 88¢ | $10,967 | +$192 +1.8% | 13 |
| 63d | whig | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo84¢ → 88¢ | $1,256 | +$65 +5.2% | 15 |
| 70d |  tetrase | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ → 88¢ | $2,151 | −$58 −2.7% | 10 |
| 80d |  Porx | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SellNo86¢ → 88¢ | $1,282 | −$35 −2.7% | — |
| 209d |  LinaBell | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo61¢ → 88¢ | $1,403 | +$622 +44% | 24 |
| 215d | ladyvaultemort | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo84¢ → 88¢ | $1,137 | +$55 +4.8% | 15 |
| 218d | AndreaCortez6958 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BuyNo84¢ → 88¢ | $1,303 | +$63 +4.8% | 15 |
RememberAmalek38,476 shares
gods-eye16,225 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 12¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 12%.
