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Polymarket wallet 0x92da34068822a0d6fc481eef3de54a974cda7e47 · on Polymarket since Jun 12, 2025 · also shown as Feisty-Escalator
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Iran Nuke in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 489d | US military action against Iran before July? | SellYes>99¢ | $74 |
| 494d | US military action against Iran before July? | BuyYes65¢ | $15 |
| 496d | US military action against Iran before July? | BuyYes42¢ | $10 |
| 497d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyYes32¢ | $5 |
| 497d | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyYes17¢ | $5 |
| 497d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyYes38¢ | $5 |
| 497d | Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday? | BuyYes27¢ | $5 |
| 497d | Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June? | BuyYes42¢ | $5 |
| 497d | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $4 |
| 497d | Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes99¢ | $12 |
| 498d | Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes34¢ | $4 |
| 498d | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo91¢ | $10 |
| 498d | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes47¢ | $2 |
| 498d | US military action against Iran before July? | BuyYes35¢ | $5 |
| 498d | US military action against Iran before July? | BuyYes38¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.