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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 481d |  Funfzig7 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $25,989 | +$1,828 +7.0% | 20 |
| 481d |  Mr-Krabs | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,935 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 481d | woshiLimpeh | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,309 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 484d | leitingjie | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | −$18 −1.7% | — |
| 484d | skylove3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $11,049 | +$917 +8.3% | 20 |
| 485d | ethereallight | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,657 | −$117 −2.1% | — |
| 485d | metaguess | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,332 | −$22 −1.6% | — |
| 485d |  siick3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,004 | −$549 −9.1% | — |
| 486d | Generator | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,878 | +$39 +2.1% | 20 |
| 486d |  just.some.guy9 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $19,847 | +$3,722 +19% | 20 |
| 486d | PolyPocket | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | −$37 −2.7% | — |
| 486d |  ondra1235 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $15,352 | −$1,050 −6.8% | — |
| 486d | ethereallight | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$112 +2.5% | 20 |
| 487d | riskofnorisk | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,618 | −$182 −7.0% | — |
| 487d | just.some.guy2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $12,999 | −$1,062 −8.2% | — |
| 487d | skylove2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,727 | −$667 −6.2% | — |
| 487d |  DoneWithIt | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,266 | −$79 −6.3% | — |
| 487d |  GUHHH | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | −$71 −6.6% | — |
| 487d | Fledermaus | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | −$50 −3.4% | — |
| 488d | Yahyam | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | −$39 −3.6% | — |
| 489d |  kickstandhater4 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $12,305 | +$1,262 +10% | 20 |
| 489d | Mr-Krabs2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,067 | +$217 +10% | 20 |
| 489d | spark1 | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | −$103 −5.2% | — |
| 489d |  RealRobertHouse | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | −$60 −5.1% | — |
| 489d |  SmartButLazy | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | −$56 −5.4% | — |
| 489d | BulkaeD | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,727 | −$171 −9.9% | — |
| 489d |  MEPP3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $5,662 | −$2,762 −49% | — |
| 489d |  Tenebrus7 | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | +$111 +8.1% | 20 |
| 489d | RealRobertHouse | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | +$101 +8.9% | 20 |
| 490d |  aabbcc15234 | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | −$114 −10% | — |
| 490d | tchaikovsky20003 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $7,554 | +$651 +8.6% | 20 |
| 490d | denizz9 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellYes17¢ → 0¢ | $16,608 | +$16,608 +100% | — |
| 490d | lug | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,963 | −$320 −16% | — |
| 490d | chuchulong3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $10,331 | −$1,766 −17% | — |
| 490d | MEPP2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellYes20¢ → 0¢ | $3,591 | +$3,591 +100% | — |
| 490d | PSCL | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | −$182 −18% | — |
| 491d |  WashTrade3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $4,193 | −$1,474 −35% | — |
| 491d | WashTrade2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,752 | +$719 +26% | 20 |
| 491d | song87 | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,719 | −$326 −19% | — |
| 491d | song87 | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,704 | +$341 +20% | 20 |
| 491d | BulkaeD | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,534 | +$298 +19% | 20 |
| 492d |  MisTKy33 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $12,922 | −$2,877 −22% | — |
| 492d | 48MGX75VLQ | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,251 | −$749 −18% | — |
| 492d | dummyguesser | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,956 | +$1,956 +100% | — |
| 493d |  HowToBasic2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $13,400 | +$2,455 +18% | 20 |
| 493d | dummyguesser | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 26 |
| 493d | jsjr2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,511 | −$887 −20% | — |
| 493d |  sigh | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,432 | −$281 −20% | — |
| 493d |  Car3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $3,224 | −$3,224 −100% | 25 |
| 493d |  Epstein | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | −$382 −17% | — |
| 493d |  betwick | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $3,017 | +$3,017 +100% | — |
| 493d | JOHNOO | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,834 | +$358 +20% | 20 |
| 493d | thekingoflondon | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $1,222 | −$1,222 −100% | 21 |
| 493d |  Naichli | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | −$314 −21% | — |
| 493d | Naichli | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,150 | +$392 +18% | 20 |
| 494d | CrazyNine | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,083 | +$1,083 +100% | — |
| 494d | lnarix | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,170 | +$1,170 +100% | — |
| 494d | ZeZeZe3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $6,800 | +$2,520 +37% | 20 |
| 494d |  SirHarryOakes | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,582 | −$509 −32% | — |
| 494d |  user-213094o | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,010 | −$1,010 −100% | 20 |
GayPride9,025 shares
WhiteLivesMatter8,231 shares
Sakuya18 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran between April 14, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.