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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  FranTerC4 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 311d | satoooooo7 fills | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,871 | −$233 −1.4% | — |
| 311d | exposito2 fills | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,984 | +$72 +1.2% | 4 |
| 330d | big6big8 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$23 +1.9% | 4 |
| 331d | rulki | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,702 | +$189 +2.2% | 4 |
| 348d |  Tenebrus7 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,184 | +$92 +2.9% | 4 |
| 352d | hfhgfhjy | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,323 | −$34 −2.6% | — |
| 352d | hfhgfhjy | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,324 | +$33 +2.5% | 4 |
| 352d |  BuckMySalls2 fills | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,863 | −$73 −2.6% | — |
| 354d | alwaysOn | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | −$29 −2.6% | — |
| 411d | slifsh | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | +$112 +7.5% | 4 |
| 413d | inrock304 fills | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $51,535 | +$4,330 +8.4% | 4 |
| 413d | MariaLo | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,956 | +$154 +7.9% | 4 |
| 413d | flydartball | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $29,179 | −$3,075 −11% | — |
| 419d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | −$95 −6.4% | — |
| 422d | xiaojiren | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | −$54 −5.3% | — |
| 422d |  KazLC | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,225 | −$167 −7.5% | — |
| 425d | 11122 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | −$66 −6.4% | — |
| 434d | Emme1 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,115 | −$184 −8.7% | — |
| 434d |  Coram_Deo | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,651 | −$404 −8.7% | — |
| 434d | lava-lava | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $12,655 | +$960 +7.6% | 4 |
| 439d | Gambler20262 fills | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $12,222 | −$1,463 −12% | — |
| 441d |  SteamRollerPennies3 fills | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $7,922 | +$828 +10% | 4 |
| 445d |  DFK | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | −$160 −8.7% | — |
| 445d | Gdub | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,715 | +$285 +7.7% | 4 |
| 445d | TheManInTheSky | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | +$1,200 +100% | — |
| 446d | KazLC | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,177 | +$215 +9.9% | 4 |
| 447d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,927 | +$433 +15% | 4 |
| 448d |  MisTKy3 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,987 | −$554 −11% | — |
| 451d |  x3560 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,320 | −$427 −9.9% | — |
| 467d | riaxox | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,340 | +$290 +8.7% | 4 |
| 468d | jayelectricity | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $9,316 | −$964 −10% | — |
| 469d | MisTKy3 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,098 | +$443 +8.7% | 4 |
| 474d | Gdub | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | −$108 −9.9% | — |
| 476d | marktangent | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $7,518 | −$744 −9.9% | — |
| 478d | flydartball2 fills | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $9,394 | +$1,172 +12% | 4 |
| 478d | x3560 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,550 | +$450 +9.9% | 4 |
| 479d | valpo | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,399 | +$1,399 +100% | — |
| 481d | valpo | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $1,859 | −$1,859 −100% | 8 |
| 482d |  DegenerateJanet | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$125 +12% | 4 |
| 482d | denizz3 fills | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $20,389 | −$2,636 −13% | — |
| 483d | marktangent | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,931 | +$857 +12% | 4 |
| 483d | Luke757575 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$142 +14% | 4 |
| 484d | jayelectricity | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $9,486 | +$1,294 +14% | 4 |
| 485d | Emme1 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$299 +15% | 4 |
| 485d | DawnOfYemen | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,669 | −$399 −15% | — |
| 485d |  Pulser | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,273 | −$489 −15% | — |
| 485d | LeftieFTW2 fills | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,901 | −$599 −15% | — |
| 486d | Pulser3 fills | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,503 | +$779 +17% | 4 |
| 486d |  occasionalAwareness | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | −$207 −15% | — |
| 486d | 336336 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,447 | −$332 −14% | — |
| 486d | midgikxi | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellYes11¢ → 0¢ | $2,888 | +$2,888 +100% | — |
| 486d | slight-2 fills | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $17,517 | +$2,496 +14% | 4 |
| 486d | BuckMySalls | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $6,583 | +$984 +15% | 4 |
| 487d | 6767 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,233 | +$1,233 +100% | — |
| 487d | ILoveAI69 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$271 +18% | 4 |
| 488d | fullrandom | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,114 | −$456 −22% | — |
| 488d | NeH2 fills | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $30,171 | −$6,096 −20% | — |
| 488d | gandalf | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,336 | +$1,336 +100% | — |
| 488d | 336336 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,425 | +$462 +19% | 4 |
EternaLEnVy27,388 shares
TimeTraveler11,100 shares
NurseTrading31 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.