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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $18 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 336d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | BuyYes55¢ | $0 |
| 336d | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellYes1¢ | $28 |
| 336d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | BuyYes55¢ | $22 |
| 337d | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyYes3¢ | $56 |
| 337d | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SellYes53¢ | $20 |
| 337d | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes53¢ | $20 |
| 338d | Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025? | BuyYes98¢ | $17 |
| 338d | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SellYes52¢ | $36 |
| 339d | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes53¢ | $37 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.