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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +3 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259d |  bamesjond | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,075 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 259d |  Tenebrus7 | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 259d | Ordon | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,917 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 259d |  scout4 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,779 | +$121 +0.8% | 4 |
| 259d | Lean-Pelt | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,630 | +$22 +0.6% | 4 |
| 259d |  AcctToBeRetired | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | −$20 −1.3% | — |
| 259d | yougotme | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,283 | +$63 +1.5% | 4 |
| 259d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,572 | +$226 +2.0% | 4 |
| 259d | MistahFox2 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,725 | +$74 +2.7% | 4 |
| 259d | Trustinghorse2 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,151 | +$256 +2.5% | 4 |
| 259d |  Doom.kai3 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $7,715 | +$632 +8.2% | 4 |
| 259d |  ScottyNooo6 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $18,107 | +$926 +5.1% | 4 |
| 259d |  Mr-Krabs2 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,666 | −$424 −4.0% | — |
| 259d | hollyber2 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,364 | +$274 +4.3% | 4 |
| 260d | Trustinghorse | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,927 | −$210 −3.6% | — |
| 260d |  zxdfbdfgngcxv | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,948 | +$52 +2.7% | 4 |
| 260d | nonkenny90 | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,915 | −$85 −2.9% | — |
| 260d |  UwO6 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $16,051 | +$359 +2.2% | 4 |
| 260d | Mr-Krabs4 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $6,724 | +$536 +8.0% | 4 |
| 260d |  TylerTurden2 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,556 | −$109 −2.0% | — |
| 260d | AcctToBeRetired3 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,513 | +$39 +0.5% | 4 |
| 260d |  MisTKy7 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $30,387 | −$1,933 −6.4% | — |
| 260d | Cyhduqilai2 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,606 | −$368 −4.8% | — |
| 260d | TylerTurden | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,722 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 260d | MisTKy11 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $32,205 | +$3,684 +11% | 4 |
| 260d | Xaci | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 260d | Cyhduqilai2 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,460 | +$513 +6.9% | 4 |
| 260d | esac3 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $8,560 | +$557 +6.5% | 4 |
| 260d |  Valen9 | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$24 +2.4% | 4 |
| 260d | nedsta2 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,091 | +$89 +2.9% | 4 |
| 260d | jetskigrizzly | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | −$56 −4.1% | — |
| 260d |  cambridgeisaac | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | −$57 −4.4% | — |
| 261d | randomlypunting | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,721 | −$57 −3.3% | — |
| 261d |  HowToBasic | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $12,000 | +$570 +4.7% | 4 |
| 261d | Metamah | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$69 −6.8% | — |
| 261d | Thanks4TheMoney | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,259 | −$534 −10% | — |
| 261d | Skinny-Class4 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $7,946 | −$2,054 −26% | — |
| 261d | diadjaid3 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $6,900 | +$609 +8.8% | 4 |
| 261d | jetskigrizzly | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,638 | +$99 +6.0% | 4 |
| 261d | Kevindoto | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,291 | +$465 +6.4% | 4 |
| 261d |  studmuffin6969 | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | −$93 −8.7% | — |
| 261d |  TheAugur | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,028 | +$233 +7.7% | 4 |
| 261d | sheeni | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | +$131 +9.9% | 4 |
| 261d |  Newsance3 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $5,496 | +$1,599 +29% | 4 |
| 261d | Icky-Conductor | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | −$255 −21% | — |
| 261d | Thanks4TheMoney | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $5,003 | +$791 +16% | 4 |
| 261d |  WarriorPooh3 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,981 | +$1,094 +27% | 4 |
| 261d | Icky-Conductor | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$353 +31% | 4 |
| 261d |  Car6 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $10,705 | +$3,280 +31% | 4 |
| 261d |  mombil | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$486 +47% | 4 |
| 261d | Newsance | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,932 | −$1,101 −57% | — |
| 261d | darklord1323 | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | −$548 −50% | — |
| 261d | JoeBlack01 | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | −$728 −47% | — |
| 261d | KrackenSruster2 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $3,729 | −$3,729 −100% | 7 |
| 261d |  Starsee2 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $9,229 | −$3,596 −39% | — |
| 261d | longnhi9xx | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,220 | −$780 −35% | — |
| 261d | diadjaid | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $2,108 | −$2,108 −100% | 5 |
| 261d | Thanks4TheMoney2 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $4,364 | −$4,364 −100% | 10 |
| 261d | WarriorPooh4 fills | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $6,786 | −$6,786 −100% | 13 |
| 261d | thevotwddweller | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | −$84 −7.5% | — |
On June 13, 2025 Iranian leaders announced they no longer plan to engage in nuclear talks with the U.S. that were scheduled to take place in Oman on Sunday (see: https://thehill.com/policy/international/5348689-iran-nuclear-deal-talks-suspended/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that official nuclear-related negotiations between the United States and Iran resume at any point on by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the talks must involve official representatives of both governments and focus primarily on nuclear issues, such as uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, IAEA inspections, or the JCPOA. Talks may be direct or mediated, and may occur in person or virtually. Only the actual resumption of talks will count; announcements that talks have been scheduled to resume will not alone qualify. Unofficial backchannel communications, general diplomatic meetings not centered on nuclear issues, or one-sided public proposals will not qualify. The market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
