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Polymarket wallet 0x9db984e25f3d6256e17ef2b63282797190e1f1ad · on Polymarket since Jan 26, 2026 · also shown as Fabulous-Tonic
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 192 | 52¢ → 100¢ | $192 | +$92 +92% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,674 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Central Casting" this week? (February 1)Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,299 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,933 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,922 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$224 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 266d | Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more? | BuyNo8¢ | $224 |
| 266d | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellNo5¢ | $223 |
| 268d | Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January? | BuyNo2¢ | $48 |
| 268d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026? | BuyNo52¢ | $100 |
| 268d | Will Trump say "Central Casting" this week? (February 1) | BuyNo3¢ | $100 |
| 268d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28? | BuyDown12¢ | $200 |
| 269d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo22¢ | $1,000 |
| 269d | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BuyNo3¢ | $1,000 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.