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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 112 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the top AI model on April 10, 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 64 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200d | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the top AI model on April 10, 2026 (Style Control On)? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 200d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BuyNo15¢ | $1 |
| 200d | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 7, 2026? | BuyNo8¢ | $1 |
| 200d | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 200d | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 6? | BuyDown10¢ | $2 |
| 200d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
| 200d | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | BuyYes29¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.