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Polymarket wallet 0xa43caab5e49dfff1d4fd3fd2218fe0c16042563e · on Polymarket since Jun 12, 2025 · also shown as Happy-Tectonics
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 71 | 58¢ → 100¢ | $71 | +$30 +73% |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 33¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$2 +203% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$2 −53% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.