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Polymarket wallet 0xa726218b702c62b1c6068c6b3d7d071ea60f5821 · on Polymarket since Jul 19, 2025 · also shown as Nimble-Sadness
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 270 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 293 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-09?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 62 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.