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Polymarket wallet 0xa78bdc307abf262a45820893053ca0f3cb9fd26d · on Polymarket since Nov 1, 2025 · also shown as Lone-Break
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 770 | 23¢ → 6¢ | $42 | −$135 −76% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,937 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,000 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,544 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$252 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,723 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17,346 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,437 −100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,980 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$115 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,676 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,500 −100% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,942 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 35 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.