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Polymarket wallet 0xaaa514a244dd6c4af7a6bdfbc08c498f7d43a189 · on Polymarket since Oct 5, 2025 · also shown as Long-Term-Plow
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 47 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$4 −79% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 13 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.