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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 571d | lowrisk243 fills | Bird flu declared public health emergency before April? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,449 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 572d | Bird flu declared public health emergency before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,115 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 575d | Bird flu declared public health emergency before April? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,536 | −$3 −0.2% | — | |
| 601d | lowrisk242 fills | Bird flu declared public health emergency before April? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,145 | +$155 +3.0% | 4 |
| 619d | Bird flu declared public health emergency before April? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,271 | +$205 +6.3% | 4 | |
| 654d | Bird flu declared public health emergency before April? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | +$141 +11% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the WHO officially declares H5N1 a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by the WHO (e.g. statements released on their official website, https://www.who.int/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.