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Polymarket wallet 0xae737777a779d1337ab386f14646d6564963c8f4 · on Polymarket since Sep 22, 2025 · also shown as Crooked-Masonry
darwin
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 23 | 43¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$5 −45% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 19 | 53¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$9 −86% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 506 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Spread: Packers (-6.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Packers | 42 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31d | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BuyYes53¢ | $10 |
| 31d | Spread: Packers (-6.5) | BuyPackers48¢ | $20 |
| 31d | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BuyYes66¢ | $74 |
| 33d | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BuyYes42¢ | $21 |
| 35d | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes43¢ | $10 |
| 35d | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BuyYes39¢ | $12 |
| 35d | Bengals vs. Texans | BuyBengals43¢ | $15 |
| 198d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $5 |
| 198d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BuyUp23¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.