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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AfD | 100% | +52 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| CDU | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Grüne | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SPD | 0% | −52 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FDP | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Linke | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FW | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BSW | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Party A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33d | madkkee4 fills | AfD | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $17,971 | −$6,809 −38% | — |
| 33d | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat | SPD | SellNo>99¢ | $5,311 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 33d | Olliii801 | AfD | SellYes>99¢ | $2,789 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 33d | Quick-Witted-Appetiser | AfD | SellYes>99¢ | $2,320 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 33d | gambler925 | SPD | SellNo>99¢ | $2,016 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 33d | AfD | SellYes>99¢ | $1,992 | −$8 −0.4% | — | |
| 33d | pagliacci4 | AfD | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,251 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 33d | AfD | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $6,764 | +$1,337 +20% | 10 | |
| 33d | stodiff | AfD | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | −$21 −1.7% | — |
| 33d | AfD | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,938 | +$51 +1.3% | 10 | |
| 33d | LAVegas | AfD | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | −$57 −3.6% | — |
| 33d | AfD | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,330 | −$51 −2.2% | — | |
| 33d | randomlypunting4 fills | AfD | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $8,094 | +$1,136 +14% | 10 |
| 33d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | AfD | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$32 −3.1% | — |
| 33d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | AfD | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,785 | +$55 +3.1% | 10 |
| 33d | lava-lava2 fills | AfD | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $7,976 | +$1,340 +17% | 10 |
| 33d | lava-lava3 fills | SPD | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $15,856 | +$4,713 +30% | 14 |
| 33d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed4 fills | SPD | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $5,469 | +$1,106 +20% | 10 |
| 33d | Boz13 | AfD | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,549 | −$620 −17% | — |
| 33d | justme003 | AfD | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | +$192 +14% | 10 |
| 33d | Predictandbreathe | SPD | SellYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,109 | +$1,109 +100% | — |
| 33d | AfD | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $4,180 | +$713 +17% | 10 | |
| 33d | e46m3 | SPD | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$180 +18% | 10 |
| 33d | gorovi3 fills | AfD | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $7,931 | +$1,372 +17% | 10 |
| 33d | gambler925 | SPD | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | +$311 +22% | 10 |
| 33d | AfD | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $9,416 | +$1,918 +20% | 10 | |
| 33d | flawfence2 fills | SPD | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $3,941 | −$3,941 −100% | 25 |
| 33d | AfD | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$381 +19% | 10 | |
| 33d | Boz13 | AfD | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$669 +19% | 10 |
| 33d | AfD | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | +$570 +23% | 10 | |
| 33d | madkkee4 fills | AfD | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $10,302 | +$4,319 +42% | 15 |
| 33d | nedsta3 fills | AfD | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $11,384 | +$1,689 +15% | 10 |
| 33d | AfD | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $5,518 | +$1,452 +26% | 11 | |
| 33d | StudentMoney2 fills | AfD | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $4,573 | +$882 +19% | 11 |
| 33d | AfD | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $3,024 | +$1,176 +39% | 10 | |
| 33d | AfD | SellNo28¢ → 0¢ | $2,314 | +$2,314 +100% | — | |
| 33d | AfD | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 10 | |
| 33d | SPD | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,747 | −$1,747 −100% | 10 | |
| 33d | Rundown-Ski | AfD | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$970 −89% | — |
| 33d | dromedaryy4 fills | SPD | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $35,227 | −$35,227 −100% | 15 |
| 33d | AfD | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $9,324 | −$9,324 −100% | 18 | |
| 33d | nino052 | AfD | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$931 +83% | 10 |
| 33d | Railcool | AfD | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,731 | −$1,731 −100% | 10 |
| 33d | AfD | BuyYes37¢ → 100¢ | $5,801 | +$9,759 +168% | 14 | |
| 33d | Railcool | AfD | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$1,207 +114% | 10 |
| 33d | SPD | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,531 | −$1,531 −100% | 10 | |
| 33d | SPD | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $5,351 | +$5,825 +109% | 11 | |
| 33d | Predictandbreathe | SPD | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 10 |
| 33d | AfD | SellYes32¢ → 100¢ | $1,576 | −$3,359 −213% | — | |
| 33d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | SPD | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,294 | −$1,294 −100% | 10 |
| 33d | Predictandbreathe | AfD | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,398 | −$1,398 −100% | 10 |
| 33d | AfD | SellNo54¢ → 0¢ | $18,726 | +$18,726 +100% | — | |
| 34d | dromedaryy3 fills | AfD | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $10,720 | −$10,720 −100% | 18 |
| 34d | SPD | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,741 | −$1,741 −100% | 10 | |
| 34d | lomneivan3 fills | SPD | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $15,693 | −$15,693 −100% | 21 |
| 34d | Sdfghji | AfD | SellYes47¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | −$1,479 −113% | — |
| 34d | SPD | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $3,711 | −$3,711 −100% | 20 | |
| 34d | AfD | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,301 | −$1,301 −100% | 20 | |
| 34d | AfD | SellNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | +$1,125 +100% | — | |
| 34d | Stable-Armament2 fills | AfD | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $19,826 | +$19,831 +100% | 15 |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for AfD means the market gives it about 100%.