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Polymarket wallet 0xaef61bef3fa31b20a8b2f1e3ee2e8e55fca20d9d · on Polymarket since Oct 18, 2025 · also shown as Misty-Chromolithograph
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 339 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $339 | +$31 +9.9% |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,577 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,097 −100% |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,587 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$343 −100% |
| OpenAI browser in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,217 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,047 −100% |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,566 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,073 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 341d | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22? | BuyYes91¢ | $109 |
| 341d | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22? | BuyYes91¢ | $200 |
| 343d | Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31? | BuyYes70¢ | $1,097 |
| 365d | Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025? | BuyYes22¢ | $343 |
| 369d | OpenAI browser in 2025? | BuyNo31¢ | $47 |
| 369d | OpenAI browser in 2025? | SellYes70¢ | $47 |
| 369d | OpenAI browser in 2025? | BuyNo33¢ | $1,000 |
| 370d | OpenAI browser by October 31? | BuyNo69¢ | $1,000 |
| 370d | OpenAI browser by October 31? | BuyNo63¢ | $73 |
| 370d | OpenAI browser in 2025? | BuyYes75¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.