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Polymarket wallet 0xaf33638521d56c67896e827716926199c3b21e17 · on Polymarket since May 9, 2025 · also shown as Spiteful-Handholding
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 18 | 51¢ → 69¢ | $12 | +$3 +34% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 12¢ | $6 | −$4 −40% |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$2 −29% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 35 | 57¢ → 7¢ | $2 | −$18 −88% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.