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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuwait | 3% | 0 pts | −6 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Pakistan | 4% | — | 0 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Iraq | 4% | 0 pts | — | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Malaysia | 3% | — | — | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Lebanon | 7% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 6¢ · 8¢ (2¢) | $2.29K | in 69d |
| Indonesia | 7% | +3 pts | +3 pts | 6¢ · 8¢ (2¢) | $1.32K | in 69d |
| Afghanistan | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | $224 | in 69d |
| Venezuela | 8% | −2 pts | −2 pts | 7¢ · 9¢ (2¢) | $176 | in 69d |
| Qatar | 3% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $100 | in 69d |
| Bangladesh | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $62.5 | in 69d |
| North Korea | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $61.1 | in 69d |
| Iran | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $51.1 | in 69d |
| Cuba | 3% | — | — | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $23.8 | in 69d |
| Tunisia | 6% | — | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $16.7 | in 69d |
| Syria | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | $16.7 | in 69d |
| Saudi Arabia | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $2.04 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8d |  tetrase4 fills | Venezuela | BuyNo81¢ → 92¢ | $8,821 | +$1,176 +13% | 17 |
| 25d |  MisTKy | Venezuela | SellNo89¢ → 92¢ | $1,108 | −$37 −3.4% | — |
| 40d | patientman | Bangladesh | BuyNo96¢ → 99¢ | $1,002 | +$25 +2.5% | 7 |
| 44d |  prophet-spaces | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo96¢ | $1,171 | −$4 −0.4% | 7 |
| 49d | yielderwelderS | Saudi Arabia | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,561 | −$22 −1.4% | — |
| 56d |  FastPaws | Lebanon | BuyNo92¢ → 93¢ | $1,621 | +$23 +1.4% | 10 |
| 62d |  ImJustKen | Venezuela | BuyYes10¢ → 8¢ | $1,033 | −$207 −20% | 24 |
| 67d | skibabiba | Venezuela | BuyNo89¢ → 92¢ | $3,192 | +$108 +3.4% | 11 |
| 69d | yielderwelderS | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo91¢ → 96¢ | $1,500 | +$83 +5.5% | 10 |
| 70d |  cambridgeisaac | Venezuela | SellNo85¢ → 92¢ | $1,124 | −$88 −7.8% | — |
| 70d | M2sx92kljs42 | Venezuela | SellNo86¢ → 92¢ | $3,133 | −$222 −7.1% | — |
| 70d |  vortl | Venezuela | SellNo85¢ → 92¢ | $2,895 | −$228 −7.9% | — |
| 70d | 0xMS8hRTF45823GhpjKuhwefuy38bf | Venezuela | SellNo87¢ → 92¢ | $1,187 | −$68 −5.7% | — |
| 71d | Arman2 | Venezuela | SellNo87¢ → 92¢ | $1,392 | −$84 −6.1% | — |
| 71d | LFC8 | Venezuela | SellNo87¢ → 92¢ | $1,035 | −$59 −5.7% | — |
| 71d | zine13 | Venezuela | BuyNo87¢ → 92¢ | $1,535 | +$91 +5.9% | 13 |
| 71d | MisTKy | Venezuela | BuyNo81¢ → 92¢ | $3,012 | +$413 +14% | 17 |
| 71d |  turtle911 | Venezuela | BuyNo58¢ → 92¢ | $1,183 | +$694 +59% | 24 |
| 71d |  yen4u2 fills | Venezuela | BuyYes56¢ → 8¢ | $2,425 | −$2,078 −86% | 24 |
| 71d | yen4u3 fills | Venezuela | SellNo42¢ → 92¢ | $3,146 | −$3,665 −116% | — |
| 71d | ivantoney | Venezuela | BuyYes52¢ → 8¢ | $2,032 | −$1,717 −84% | 24 |
| 71d | yen4u2 fills | Venezuela | BuyNo58¢ → 92¢ | $2,863 | +$1,705 +60% | 24 |
| 71d | Webbed-Kingdom-Green | Venezuela | BuyNo42¢ → 92¢ | $1,250 | +$1,458 +117% | 24 |
| 71d |  mr.ozi | Venezuela | BuyYes81¢ → 8¢ | $1,906 | −$1,717 −90% | 17 |
| 71d |  Rex4162 fills | Venezuela | BuyYes73¢ → 8¢ | $3,329 | −$2,964 −89% | 22 |
| 72d |  wienerdog | Venezuela | BuyNo59¢ → 92¢ | $1,100 | +$618 +56% | 24 |
| 72d | 5555five | Venezuela | SellNo41¢ → 92¢ | $2,107 | −$2,620 −124% | — |
| 72d | 5555five | Venezuela | BuyNo45¢ → 92¢ | $1,063 | +$1,087 +102% | 24 |
| 73d | denizz | Venezuela | BuyYes63¢ → 8¢ | $2,833 | −$2,474 −87% | 24 |
| 77d | M2sx92kljs422 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo84¢ → 93¢ | $5,196 | +$538 +10% | 14 |
| 79d |  archaic | Bangladesh | SellNo96¢ → 99¢ | $1,115 | −$28 −2.5% | — |
| 80d | archaic | Bangladesh | BuyNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,084 | +$49 +4.5% | 8 |
| 86d | tnl | Cuba | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $1,469 | +$74 +5.1% | 9 |
| 86d | LJa7io23MCv954j | Lebanon | BuyNo81¢ → 93¢ | $7,788 | +$1,186 +15% | 17 |
| 93d | M2sx92kljs42 | Venezuela | BuyNo76¢ → 92¢ | $1,156 | +$236 +20% | 20 |
| 99d |  polmar001 | Indonesia | BuyNo87¢ → 93¢ | $1,000 | +$71 +7.1% | 13 |
| 102d | archaic | Iraq | SellNo97¢ → 96¢ | $1,412 | +$18 +1.3% | — |
| 103d | archaic | Qatar | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $2,181 | +$55 +2.5% | 7 |
| 105d | archaic | Iran | SellNo97¢ | $1,285 | −$0 −0.0% | — |
| 106d | archaic | North Korea | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,023 | +$16 +1.6% | — |
| 109d | archaic | North Korea | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,105 | +$7 +0.7% | 7 |
| 110d |  Seutervoinen | Lebanon | BuyNo74¢ → 93¢ | $1,740 | +$447 +26% | 21 |
| 110d | GrinderJoe | Malaysia | SellNo95¢ → 97¢ | $1,408 | −$36 −2.6% | — |
| 111d | archaic | Indonesia | SellNo92¢ → 93¢ | $1,479 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 112d | archaic | Indonesia | BuyNo91¢ → 93¢ | $1,456 | +$36 +2.5% | 10 |
| 113d | denizz2 fills | Lebanon | BuyNo74¢ → 93¢ | $2,869 | +$738 +26% | 21 |
| 113d | archaic | Iraq | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $2,133 | +$18 +0.8% | 4 |
| 113d |  MEPP | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo90¢ → 96¢ | $1,863 | +$119 +6.4% | 11 |
| 117d | archaic | Kuwait | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $2,606 | +$199 +7.6% | 4 |
| 117d | 881112 | Lebanon | BuyYes75¢ → 7¢ | $2,922 | −$2,649 −91% | 21 |
| 117d |  Warren-Buffett | Lebanon | BuyYes81¢ → 7¢ | $1,019 | −$931 −91% | 17 |
| 119d | Inchoroi | Lebanon | BuyYes65¢ → 7¢ | $1,379 | −$1,230 −89% | 24 |
| 119d | BlindAndDeaf | Afghanistan | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $1,000 | +$48 +4.8% | 9 |
| 142d | agagyu | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo84¢ → 96¢ | $1,006 | +$144 +14% | 15 |
| 142d |  pandannn | Saudi Arabia | BuyYes18¢ → 4¢ | $1,200 | −$910 −76% | 25 |
RememberAmalek3,352 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Kuwait means the market gives it about 3%.