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Polymarket wallet 0xb1f5ae6ad3cc32af768fdeae1671de7b2552eb28 · on Polymarket since Oct 8, 2025 · also shown as Terrible-Lollipop
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will AZZ (AZZ) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 62 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 366d | Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30? | BuyYes9¢ | $1 |
| 368d | Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1 |
| 368d | Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyYes85¢ | $1 |
| 368d | Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyYes78¢ | $1 |
| 379d | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes17¢ | $3 |
| 381d | Will AZZ (AZZ) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 381d | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 381d | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 381d | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 381d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? | BuyNo61¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.