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Polymarket wallet 0xb4d0af1b5845e5e9445e8643d3e2e100bb29a815 · on Polymarket since Apr 22, 2025 · also shown as Bare-Pug
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 481d | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyYes32¢ | $6 |
| 481d | Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BuyYes14¢ | $5 |
| 491d | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before August? | BuyYes57¢ | $5 |
| 491d | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | BuyYes49¢ | $5 |
| 550d | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuySenators39¢ | $4 |
| 550d | Elon out of Trump administration before July? | BuyYes48¢ | $10 |
| 550d | Will Trump say "Denmark" this week? | BuyYes23¢ | $5 |
| 550d | Will the next Pope be from Africa? | BuyYes12¢ | $5 |
| 550d | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyYes45¢ | $10 |
| 550d | Will the next Pope be Black? | BuyYes13¢ | $10 |
| 550d | Will NDP win between 10 and 15 seats in the next Canadian Election? | BuyYes33¢ | $10 |
| 550d | Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election? | BuyYes11¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.