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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 49¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$6 +106% |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 51¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$5 +96% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.