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Polymarket wallet 0xb56b578cbac1157124fe358c3ca7b1495f0778c2 · on Polymarket since Jan 6, 2026 · also shown as Mysterious-Dogsled
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 37 | 34¢ → 21¢ | $8 | −$5 −38% |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 143 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$6 −57% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,285 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 229 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 347 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 183d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyYes34¢ | $12 |
| 185d | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | SellYes46¢ | $12 |
| 192d | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BuyYes51¢ | $14 |
| 192d | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellYes7¢ | $14 |
| 193d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $100 |
| 275d | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $12 |
| 275d | US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | BuyYes7¢ | $10 |
| 276d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | SellYes2¢ | $3 |
| 281d | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BuyNo17¢ | $60 |
| 282d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes18¢ | $5 |
| 282d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes18¢ | $10 |
| 282d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 282d | Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.