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Polymarket wallet 0xb61a38ffa3860db2e5513b004a9e9170e9dafed7 · on Polymarket since Dec 19, 2025 · also shown as Mealy-Swivel

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$494
Volume traded: $37.6K
All-time rank: #2,962,576
Markets traded: 40
Recent hit rate: 27%8 of last 30 closed

Open positions

11 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,567	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-28?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	102	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	12,500	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with vinegar?Settled - ready to redeem	No	230	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem	No	10	80¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	19	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Lakers vs. CavaliersSettled - ready to redeem	Lakers	23	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	No	2,371	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem	No	174	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$66 −100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	4,347	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$36 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
244d	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	SellYes<1¢	$0
244d	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SellNo6¢	$1
244d	Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition	SellNo3¢	$3
244d	Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with bacon grease?	SellYes<1¢	$1
244d	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?	SellYes1¢	$3
244d	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	SellYes1¢	$3
244d	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	SellYes5¢	$4
244d	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	SellYes6¢	$8
253d	Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?	SellYes43¢	$7
253d	Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?	SellYes5¢	$5
253d	Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?	SellYes12¢	$23
253d	Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?	SellYes31¢	$23
262d	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?	BuyNo38¢	$66
262d	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during 2pm signing?	BuyYes10¢	$10
262d	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes13¢	$10
262d	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?	BuyYes5¢	$10
265d	US government shutdown Saturday?	SellYes>99¢	$96
265d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyYes95¢	$92
265d	US government shutdown Saturday?	SellNo5¢	$12
266d	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?	BuyYes1¢	$10
266d	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?	BuyYes3¢	$10
266d	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?	BuyYes8¢	$11
266d	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	BuyYes49¢	$50
266d	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 30?	BuyUp40¢	$20
266d	Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?	SellYes29¢	$23
266d	Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?	SellYes89¢	$48
266d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyNo38¢	$100
266d	US government shutdown Saturday?	SellYes62¢	$211
266d	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	BuyYes10¢	$10
266d	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BuyNo19¢	$4
266d	Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?	BuyYes37¢	$20
266d	Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?	BuyYes1¢	$10
266d	Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition	BuyNo11¢	$10
266d	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	BuyYes8¢	$10
266d	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	BuyYes4¢	$10
267d	Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?	SellYes90¢	$48
267d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyYes57¢	$73
267d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyYes60¢	$126
267d	US government shutdown Saturday?	SellNo41¢	$226
267d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	BuyYes66¢	$140
268d	Magic vs. Heat	BuyMagic42¢	$10
268d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyNo33¢	$150
268d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyNo29¢	$28
268d	US government shutdown Saturday?	SellNo28¢	$280
268d	Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with vinegar?	BuyNo4¢	$10
268d	Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with bacon grease?	BuyYes3¢	$10
268d	Lakers vs. Cavaliers	BuyLakers43¢	$10
268d	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-28?	BuyYes20¢	$10
268d	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?	BuyYes54¢	$10
268d	Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	BuyNo80¢	$8
268d	Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition	SellNo5¢	$12
268d	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January?	SellYes<1¢	$2
268d	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January?	BuyYes<1¢	$5
270d	Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?	BuyYes61¢	$10
270d	Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?	BuyYes11¢	$10
270d	Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition	BuyNo9¢	$20
270d	Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?	BuyYes38¢	$20
270d	Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?	BuyYes25¢	$20
270d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$10
270d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 30 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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