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Polymarket wallet 0xb82acb81cf2d539b1178d2877a0ca22c18c9ea29 · on Polymarket since Jan 29, 2026 · also shown as Elated-Fool
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 21¢ | $1 | −$0 −24% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 2 | 53¢ → 21¢ | $0 | −$1 −61% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 111 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,077 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 15 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.