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Polymarket wallet 0xb89225f55186963901369f913d111b4ea7ca9c55 · on Polymarket since Jan 8, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 45¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$6 +122% |
| José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Melania say "President Trump" during AI talk on Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 281d | Will Melania say "President Trump" during AI talk on Friday? | BuyYes92¢ | $5 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes79¢ | $2 |
| 283d | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 284d | Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28? | BuyYes50¢ | $5 |
| 285d | US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 286d | José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? | BuyNo87¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BuyYes45¢ | $5 |
| 286d | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes4¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.