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Polymarket wallet 0xb989e1b657d1c2e2d53fc42dfb1474d86faa4781 · on Polymarket since May 14, 2026 · also shown as Hideous-Waistband
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 3,687 | 17¢ → 10¢ | $350 | −$280 −44% |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,590 | 27¢ → 10¢ | $151 | −$275 −65% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 626 | 32¢ → 10¢ | $63 | −$137 −69% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 902 | 57¢ → 4¢ | $32 | −$478 −94% |
| Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,640 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137d | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | BuyYes32¢ | $205 |
| 151d | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes27¢ | $70 |
| 153d | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BuyYes17¢ | $630 |
| 153d | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BuyYes57¢ | $509 |
| 153d | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BuyYes56¢ | $10 |
| 154d | Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China? | BuyYes12¢ | $207 |
| 154d | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes27¢ | $350 |
| 162d | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes29¢ | $6 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.