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Polymarket · World
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakistan | 10% | — | — | 6¢ · 13¢ (7¢) | — | in 68d |
| India | 10% | — | +1 pts | 9¢ · 11¢ (2¢) | — | in 68d |
| South Korea | 10% | +1 pts | +3 pts | 6¢ · 14¢ (8¢) | — | in 68d |
| Taiwan | 10% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 7¢ · 13¢ (6¢) | — | in 68d |
| Canada | 13% | +1 pts | +3 pts | 10¢ · 16¢ (6¢) | — | in 68d |
| Argentina | 9% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 7¢ · 11¢ (4¢) | — | in 68d |
| Indonesia | 8% | — | −1 pts | 5¢ · 11¢ (6¢) | — | in 68d |
| Japan | 8% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 2¢ · 14¢ (12¢) | — | in 68d |
| European Union | 6% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 4¢ · 8¢ (4¢) | — | in 68d |
| Vietnam | 11% | −1 pts | −3 pts | 9¢ · 13¢ (4¢) | — | in 68d |
| Australia | 10% | — | — | 6¢ · 13¢ (7¢) | — | in 68d |
| Brazil | 7% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 5¢ · 10¢ (5¢) | — | in 68d |
| Mexico | 10% | −1 pts | −6 pts | 4¢ · 15¢ (11¢) | — | in 68d |
| Russia | 11% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 7¢ · 14¢ (7¢) | — | in 68d |
| Israel | 12% | — | +2 pts | 6¢ · 18¢ (12¢) | — | in 68d |
| United Kingdom | 11% | — | — | 8¢ · 13¢ (5¢) | — | in 68d |
| South Africa | 7% | +1 pts | — | 4¢ · 10¢ (6¢) | — | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66d | Thanks4TheMoney | Canada | BuyYes89¢ → 13¢ | $1,999 | −$1,707 −85% | 20 |
| 150d | M888 | India | BuyNo69¢ → 90¢ | $1,354 | +$425 +31% | 20 |
| 151d |  aenews2 | India | BuyYes41¢ → 10¢ | $1,641 | −$1,244 −76% | 21 |
| 260d |  ScottyNooo | Argentina | BuyYes51¢ → 9¢ | $1,166 | −$962 −82% | 20 |
| 280d |  AllByMyseIf | Taiwan | SellNo84¢ → 90¢ | $1,134 | −$94 −8.3% | — |
| 281d |  bamesjond | Taiwan | BuyYes88¢ → 10¢ | $3,392 | −$3,026 −89% | 20 |
| 281d | BiruRS | Taiwan | BuyYes89¢ → 10¢ | $1,176 | −$1,049 −89% | 20 |
LornaPredicts370 shares
Basquetipster907 shares
randomWalkingShrimp106 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 10¢ for Pakistan means the market gives it about 10%.