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Polymarket wallet 0xba903b8d8ca8c976088bcae8b78630ba3c27b5a0 · on Polymarket since Jan 25, 2026 · also shown as Irritating-Simplification
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 185 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 35 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 54 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 13 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.