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Polymarket wallet 0xbc04bc41f789c4a972281f4aef400a0814a3531a · on Polymarket since Nov 10, 2024 · also shown as Definitive-Glockenspiel
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2200 on July 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Solana reach $180 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.1% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 14 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.