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Polymarket wallet 0xbe613695eb3ea1a15a381e2bd54116208d586cd6 · on Polymarket since Mar 1, 2026 · also shown as Assured-Marionberry
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 52 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $52 | +$5 +10% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 73 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 216d | Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30? | BuyNo92¢ | $18 |
| 217d | Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30? | BuyNo90¢ | $19 |
| 229d | Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | BuyYes24¢ | $47 |
| 230d | Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes4¢ | $8 |
| 230d | Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30? | BuyNo89¢ | $10 |
| 230d | Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | BuyYes68¢ | $50 |
| 230d | Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo63¢ | $50 |
| 230d | Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo87¢ | $100 |
| 231d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | SellYes96¢ | $169 |
| 231d | Will UK strike Iran by March 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $20 |
| 231d | Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | BuyYes33¢ | $50 |
| 235d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BuyYes57¢ | $100 |
| 236d | Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes9¢ | $17 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.