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Polymarket wallet 0xbfcf4325da75faa98c4b5da0000d7407c976d9a2 · on Polymarket since Mar 6, 2026 · also shown as Athletic-Organization
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurds declare independence from Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 79 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $79 | +$9 +12% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 56 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $55 | +$5 +10% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 56 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $55 | +$5 +9.7% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 36 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $34 | +$4 +15% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 194d | Kurds declare independence from Iran? | BuyNo89¢ | $70 |
| 215d | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo56¢ | $56 |
| 225d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BuyNo83¢ | $30 |
| 225d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BuyNo89¢ | $50 |
| 225d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyNo89¢ | $50 |
| 225d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo89¢ | $50 |
| 225d | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | BuyNo68¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.