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Polymarket wallet 0xc04432f9e6da20dff7367c655894619ec1395c9d · on Polymarket since Feb 23, 2025 · also shown as Aware-Trachoma
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $22 | +$2 +11% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 604d | Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June? | BuyYes55¢ | $20 |
| 604d | Will Trump be impeached in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ | $20 |
| 605d | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | BuyNo80¢ | $20 |
| 605d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes72¢ | $40 |
| 605d | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | BuyYes94¢ | $20 |
| 605d | Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | SellYes99¢ | $72 |
| 605d | Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? | SellNo>99¢ | $125 |
| 608d | Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | BuyYes97¢ | $99 |
| 608d | Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes69¢ | $50 |
| 608d | Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? | BuyNo80¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.