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Polymarket wallet 0xc0ae5df3f291d26821bec3399a202ff89786544b · on Polymarket since Jan 18, 2026 · also shown as Ashamed-Cauliflower
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 93 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,017 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 108 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 78 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 12 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.