Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 3% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | $183 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d |  DFK6 fills | December 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $21,925 | +$861 +3.9% | 25 |
| 13d | DFK3 fills | December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 97¢ | $5,482 | −$113 −2.1% | — |
| 68d |  Tenebrus7 | December 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,525 | +$12 +0.8% | 23 |
| 76d | Tenebrus7 | December 31 | SellNo95¢ → 97¢ | $1,643 | −$30 −1.8% | — |
| 94d | CP-directional | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $1,100 | +$20 +1.8% | 23 |
| 184d | baguettte2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 97¢ | $3,256 | +$324 +9.9% | 28 |
| 206d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b045 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $32,901 | +$173 +0.5% | 20 |
| 207d | denizz5 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,331 | −$351 −2.8% | — |
| 209d |  DaMonkeyHope | December 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 97¢ | $5,744 | +$571 +9.9% | 28 |
| 211d | JuniorPark | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,012 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 211d | PalmerGarcia | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,025 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 211d | BentleyWeaver | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,006 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 212d | Scoofy-Bubik | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,534 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 212d |  wish- | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$12 +0.6% | 20 |
| 214d | Eatpraylove5 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,222 | −$141 −0.8% | — |
| 222d |  fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,489 | −$27 −1.1% | — |
| 229d | DFK3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,637 | −$79 −0.7% | — |
| 230d | kevtp2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,930 | −$70 −0.7% | — |
| 231d |  Opium4 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,517 | −$11 −0.7% | — |
| 231d | Eatpraylove3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $68,897 | +$1,103 +1.6% | 20 |
| 231d |  mr.ozi | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,979 | −$21 −0.7% | — |
| 231d | woshiLimpeh | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 232d | forinnerpsandr1x112224 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $54,694 | +$424 +0.8% | 20 |
| 233d | DFK5 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,838 | +$255 +3.3% | 20 |
| 235d |  SirHarryOakes3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,990 | −$334 −3.7% | — |
| 237d | trader2e12 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,568 | −$127 −3.6% | — |
| 240d | Jezareth | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | −$32 −2.6% | — |
| 247d | superstation2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,650 | −$50 −1.9% | — |
| 254d | Jezareth | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$46 +3.7% | 20 |
| 254d | PrayAccidentally | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,614 | +$60 +3.7% | 20 |
| 254d | GodGuideBulle | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | +$53 +3.7% | 20 |
| 255d | Admirable-Poem | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | −$73 −3.6% | — |
| 255d | Admirable-Poem | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$72 +3.6% | 20 |
| 255d |  ScottyNooo | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,002 | −$132 −3.3% | — |
| 259d | Kevindoto | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,524 | −$174 −3.1% | — |
| 259d | abuzzin | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | −$41 −2.8% | — |
| 260d | ShayaEredyon | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,851 | −$49 −2.6% | — |
| 264d | Imperfect-Council | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$42 +3.3% | 20 |
| 264d | madman666 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,503 | +$47 +3.1% | 20 |
| 265d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $156,151 | +$156 +0.1% | 20 |
| 265d |  GrokEnjoyer | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,109 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 265d | lordedward | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,796 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 265d | onekey096 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $24,376 | +$220 +0.9% | 20 |
| 265d | cigarettes | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,554 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 266d | Kevindoto | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,506 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 266d |  libratus1 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,994 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 266d |  Metusalem | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,311 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 266d | nonkenny90 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,690 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 266d |  tourists | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,993 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 266d |  BeneGesseritVoice2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,040 | −$43 −0.7% | — |
| 266d | haraya | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,661 | −$14 −0.5% | — |
| 267d | 0xef5b…6a90 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,067 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 267d | roibos | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 267d | jocpolitic2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,724 | −$84 −0.7% | — |
| 267d | kevtp3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,939 | −$61 −1.0% | — |
| 267d | OLOTH | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,576 | +$26 +0.4% | 20 |
| 268d |  Cheddar-Factory | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo100¢ | $9,950 | +$50 +0.5% | 20 |
| 268d |  RIPTS3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,481 | +$128 +1.5% | 20 |
| 268d | k00pa | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 268d | Eatpraylove9 fills | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $48,654 | +$1,710 +3.5% | 20 |
chungguskhan4,240 sharesDFK25,516 shares
elmcap22,000 shares
Slowroasted750 shares
ImJustKen750 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 3%.