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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 20¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$6 +400% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 188 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 209d | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $17 |
| 209d | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $2 |
| 209d | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BuyYes37¢ | $2 |
| 209d | Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | BuyYes22¢ | $0 |
| 209d | Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility? | BuyYes20¢ | $2 |
| 210d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BuyYes96¢ | $10 |
| 210d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27? | BuyYes95¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.