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Polymarket wallet 0xc4b6688be666b49c50d0529b0393f6c4d77c70ae · on Polymarket since Dec 2, 2025 · also shown as Reflecting-Cereal
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 114 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 158 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 722 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 325d | Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31? | BuyYes57¢ | $15 |
| 325d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $25 |
| 325d | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | BuyYes14¢ | $45 |
| 325d | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BuyYes12¢ | $19 |
| 325d | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $80 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.