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Polymarket wallet 0xc79280094f0d0cd7b8a7853aef6ae5093ecc0778 · on Polymarket since Sep 27, 2024 · also shown as Frosty-Dickey
not invented here
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 218 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 10, 9PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Atlantic" this week? (January 11)Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,725 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 272d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes20¢ | $10 |
| 273d | Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
| 273d | Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes12¢ | $10 |
| 286d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes33¢ | $10 |
| 286d | Will Trump say "Atlantic" this week? (January 11) | BuyYes19¢ | $3 |
| 286d | XRP Up or Down - January 10, 9PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $2 |
| 751d | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellNo2¢ | $200 |
| 752d | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyNo1¢ | $200 |
| 754d | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyNo8¢ | $94 |
| 756d | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyYes23¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.