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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 750d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,440 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 750d | PM7772 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,974 | +$26 +0.1% | 4 |
| 750d |  RememberAmalek6 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $33,972 | −$163 −0.5% | — |
| 750d |  Dropper4 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $10,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 750d |  TimeQuestion6 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $118,645 | +$1,018 +0.9% | 4 |
| 751d | pepmapep2 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,230 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 751d | pepmapep2 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,230 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 751d |  beastishngry | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $16,170 | −$32 −0.2% | — |
| 751d |  studmuffin69695 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 751d | Bromeee | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $10,837 | −$22 −0.2% | — |
| 751d | DapperChapper | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 751d |  bosshog | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,524 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 751d | whatisthisclownmarket | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $8,760 | −$18 −0.2% | — |
| 751d | AutisticWhaleShark | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $7,984 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 751d | Bromeee | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,847 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 751d | Carpfisher2 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $14,644 | −$62 −0.4% | — |
| 751d | ParthMehta | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,054 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 751d |  eufahjfn3416724124 | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,223 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 751d | trumtrumtrum | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,900 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 751d | asxasd | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 751d | Grocgo | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $11,113 | −$22 −0.2% | — |
| 751d | Grocgo | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,126 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 751d |  Tenebrus7 | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $8,782 | −$18 −0.2% | — |
| 751d |  debased7 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $33,515 | +$200 +0.6% | 4 |
| 751d | GigiPirri | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,102 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 751d | Isaak👴 | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,191 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 751d | YoYoYolo | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,160 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 751d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $14,117 | −$28 −0.2% | — |
| 751d |  occasionalAwareness | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $49,950 | +$50 +0.1% | 4 |
| 751d | TimeQuestion2 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $97,900 | −$114 −0.1% | — |
| 751d |  fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,647 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 751d |  JJo2 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,208 | −$143 −0.8% | — |
| 751d |  BigMike117 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $28,191 | +$288 +1.0% | 4 |
| 751d | BigMike11 | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,985 | −$15 −0.3% | — |
| 751d | cooker-1112 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes>99¢ | $8,287 | −$39 −0.5% | — |
| 751d |  Pidor🐓 | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,970 | +$30 +0.3% | 4 |
| 751d | tf22 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $34,638 | +$224 +0.6% | 4 |
| 751d |  aenews26 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $71,378 | +$764 +1.1% | 4 |
| 751d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe34 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,039 | +$106 +0.8% | 4 |
| 751d | 0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd49 | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $94,080 | +$378 +0.4% | 4 |
| 751d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a2 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $63,484 | +$520 +0.8% | 4 |
| 751d |  Skip-Earthwax | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,932 | −$68 −1.0% | — |
| 751d | MakeTrumpGreatAgain | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,317 | +$66 +0.7% | 4 |
| 751d |  Glover | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,768 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 751d | tuturu3 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,412 | +$145 +2.3% | 4 |
| 751d | 0xac8db3b4afea21b73ffdc92fjk2 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $24,750 | +$250 +1.0% | 4 |
| 751d |  fhantombets3 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $41,219 | +$440 +1.1% | 4 |
| 751d | absolutezero | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,743 | +$62 +0.8% | 4 |
| 751d | Hunter-Biden | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $37,647 | +$418 +1.1% | 4 |
| 751d |  truthteller4 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $28,833 | +$663 +2.3% | 4 |
| 751d |  50Whence55 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $344,645 | +$20,671 +6.0% | 6 |
| 751d | tuturu3 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,347 | −$177 −2.8% | — |
| 751d |  elmcap23 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $98,519 | +$808 +0.8% | 4 |
| 751d |  ANudeEgg8 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $24,605 | +$357 +1.5% | 4 |
| 751d | truthteller | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,728 | −$272 −2.8% | — |
| 751d | du333 | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyNo2¢ → 0¢ | $1,553 | −$1,553 −100% | 7 |
| 752d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $31,379 | +$813 +2.6% | 4 |
| 752d |  lil-uzi-squirt3 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $13,800 | +$366 +2.7% | 4 |
| 752d | Niniti26 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $126,599 | +$3,380 +2.7% | 4 |
| 752d | beastishngry2 fills | Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $15,717 | +$486 +3.1% | 4 |
NotALawyer23,545 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations between September 18 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only ground operations involving troops on Lebanese soil will count. Territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms area will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.